Session goal: Research dividend reinvestment impact on total return — explicitly called out in trade-pattern-v1.md V2 next steps (“Evaluate dividend reinvestment impact on total return”). Backtest whether DRIP-style reinvesting beats buy-and-hold without dividend capture on ASX large caps.
Context:
- Phase 1 research complete: BH + quarterly rebalancing optimal strategy
- All ideas (IDEA-001 through IDEA-004) completed and resolved
- Ideas queue empty — selected open question from V2 roadmap
- Previous finding (IDEA-002): dividend screening has mixed results (+253pp walk-forward, but driven by commodity cycle timing not income)
- Key question: is it the selection by yield or the reinvestment of dividends that matters?
Progress log:
- 00:00 — Read project index, trade-pattern-v1.md, and ideas.md. Confirmed no active work items. Selected dividend reinvestment research as next chunk per V2 roadmap.